Sign up to receive that report in your inbox here. The drop in the senator's approval follows his decision to leave Texas for a trip to Cancun, Mexico, while millions of Texans were without power and water amid severe winter weather conditions last week. I dont think the demographics in the state have moved far enough in Betos favor for him to be able to pull it off, and hes a smart guy, so Im pretty sure he knows that, said Russell Autry, a pollster who worked for ORourke during his time on the El Paso City Council. Biden also has a disapproval rating of 55 percent in Texas. And youre not literally there with people connected to people in as direct a way as we are now., Beto O' Rourke at the south steps of the Texas State Capitol speaking about voting rights as part of a For The People Rally in Austin, June 20, 2021. Among Republicans, Cruz's approval rating sits at 53 percent, a 23-point decrease from his January rating in a Morning Consult poll. Texas Senator Ted Cruz's approval rating took a major hit following last week's Cancun trip fiasco, according to a Yahoo/YouGov poll. All Rights Reserved. Sergio Flores/Getty Images. The senator had an 81 percent approval rating among Republicans in a Morning Consult survey conducted from December 27 to January 5. My names Beto.. During the course of about an hour walking in a heavily Democratic precinct in Round Rock, ORourke registered one new voter. Would you say that you" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification. Support TYT by becoming a member: http://tyt.com/joinRead more HERE: https://www.vice.com/en/article/epd9yn/texas-governor-greg-abbott-ted-cruz-apparently-got-advice-on-winter-storm-from-climate-denier\"Days before winter storm Uri slammed into Texas, Republican Governor Greg Abbott and Senator Ted Cruz got advice on how to prepare from a known climate change denier.\"Hosts: Ana Kasparian, Cenk UygurCast: Ana Kasparian, Cenk Uygur*** The largest online progressive news show in the world. | "This has been an infuriating week for Texans. Robin Rather, an environmentalist in Austin who saw ORourke before the rally with Willie Nelson last month, said, I thought he was unbearably punk-angst after he lost the Senate race. Rather, the daughter of the journalist Dan Rather, said, He lost a lot of credibility with me because he was emoting all over the place.. But the latest Economist /YouGov poll shows that his ratings may be inching back up. According to Cruz, one potential justification for impeachment proceedings would be the utter lawlessness of Bidens refusal to solve the border crisis and his decisionto defy immigration laws., In response Tuesday, White House press secretary Jen Psaki suggested: Maybe Senator Cruz can work with us on getting something done on comprehensive immigration reform and putting in place measures that will help make sure smart security is what we see at the border, taking a more humane approach to the border instead of name calling, accusation-calling and making predictions of the future.. Along with approval ratings for senators, Political Intelligence tracks the 2020 election as well as the approval ratings for all governors, House members, the president and more at the national, state and congressional district level. President: Democratic primary, 2024 President: Republican primary, 2024 Donald Trump Favorability AVG. Would you say that you" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. Seven in 10 Democrats (71%) continue to have a very unfavorable opinion of the Texas Republican, relatively unchanged from last week (68%). at Disclosure: The University of Texas at Austin has been a financial supporter of The Texas Tribune, a nonprofit, nonpartisan news organization that is funded in part by donations from members, foundations and corporate sponsors. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. The poll, which surveyed over 1,500 adults across the U.S., has a 2.9 point margin of error. You just never know until youre in it, he said. Texas voters are split over whether they approve of Gov. Adler said, His PAC is everywhere, and his messaging is everywhere, and his organizing is everywhere., Beto O'Rourke speaks at a rally at the state Capitol in Austin on June 20, 2021. Normally, this would be the point where we lecture everyone about the dangers of putting too much stock in one poll. Booed Flipped Off At Yankees Game. . Democrats, after picking up 12 state House seats in 2018, failed to make gains in the downballot races. Ana Kasparian and Cenk Uygur discuss on The Young Turks. Watch. Senator Ted Cruz's approval rating plummets following his Cancun trip. June 29, 20215 AM Central. 4.9. Ted Cruz and John Cornyn, Lt. Gov. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. Survey respondents were assigned to their appropriate senators based on their state of residence. Average for the last 12 months. Many Democratic political professionals both inside and outside of Texas believe the prudent political choice for ORourke would be to sit the governors race out and wait to take on Cruz, a more polarizing figure than Abbott. ", YouGov, Favorability of Congressman Ted Cruz among U.S. adults, as of November 2022 Statista, https://www.statista.com/statistics/1201765/favorability-ted-cruz-us-adults/ (last visited March 04, 2023), Favorability of Congressman Ted Cruz among U.S. adults, as of November 2022 [Graph], YouGov, November 16, 2022. Help support our mission and get perks. Can I get you signed up? he asked, then: Thank you so much! Compared to Trump, who has a net rating of negative 12 percent, and Texas Representative Ted Cruz, DeSantis stands to be a winner of the poll, with a 7 percent net favorability rating, boding well for his national stakes ahead of the 2022 midterms. Your days not going to get much better than that, he said. On the other hand, 17 percent of respondents had a. [Ted Cruz]" Just over half the public had heard "a lot" about Cruz's abortive trip. ORourke is a fundraising juggernaut, and if he entered the race he would give the state party a draw at the top of the ticket, likely sucking millions of Democratic dollars into Texas and helping to turn out voters who would support other Democrats on the ballot. And in a head-to-head matchup against Abbott, he was losing 45 percent to 33 percent. Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Eighty-two percent of Democrats disapprove of Abbott, with 75% of those Democrats saying they strongly disapprove of his performance. Dan Patrick, Attorney General Ken Paxton and House Speaker Dade Phelan. Please do not hesitate to contact me. Each week, we will release a report with the most important findings on the 2020 election. There are times when ORourke sounds very much like a politician who has already decided to run. Last week, Republican Senator Ted Cruz lost favorability with Republicans after flying with his family to Mexico during the Texas storms and outages. A paid subscription is required for full access. I feel like I just ran a marathon in the 2020 campaign, he said in an interview, and you know, just happy to support others right now and shine a light on issues that are important to the state and to the country, and then consider running in the future. Hidalgo has said she is focused on running for re-election in her county-level seat. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. Senator Ted Cruzs approval rating plummets following his Cancun trip. Senator? William J. Barber II, of the Poor Peoples Campaign, addressed the crowd. Patrick had a 36% total approval rating, and a 37% disapproval rating. It all seemed very different to the Texans who had witnessed ORourkes stream-of-consciousness public reckoning following his Senate race. You can see the margin of error for each senator here. Hes this symbolic, Texas can be something other than it is, for all of his flaws and all his losses.. It would be difficult to have another loss., Markowitz said she wished she knew if he planned to run. Right direction Wrong track Unsure Refused . For only the second time in UT polling, but the second time in less than a year, a majority of Texas voters say that the state is on the wrong track. The best of the best: the portal for top lists & rankings: Strategy and business building for the data-driven economy: Industry-specific and extensively researched technical data (partially from exclusive partnerships). Its possible that will be enough for ORourke, at least in 2022. Abbott lacks ORourkes charisma and star power, but hes a canny politician who has never lost a race and has already raised $55 million. ORourke was rated very or somewhat favorably by just 31 percent of voters, while 40 percent had an unfavorable view. The problem for us, he said, is until he makes a decision, nobody else is going to do anything.. (That's a 41.5 percent approval rating and a 53.5 disapproval rating.) Among Democrats, his net approval has dropped by 9 points. Demonstrators hold up signs at a voting rights rally at the state Capitol in Austin on June 20, 2021. The greatest state in the greatest country in the world has been without power," Cruz said in a February 18 statement. In a national environment where the generic ballot favors Democrats and Congresss approval ratings remain low, incumbency may not be as much of an advantage for Republicans as it has been in some other years. The August polling averages were off by between 5 points and 14 points in any given year. The Senators favorability rating dropped eight points among Republicans last week from 68% to 60%, but he has recovered four points (64%) this week. We took the absolute value of the difference because were only interested in the size of the polling miss, not which direction it missed in. Sen. Ted Cruz has said there are "multiple grounds" for impeaching President Biden if Republicans achieve a majority in the House following the 2022 midterm elections, warning "what's good. If not ORourke, the question for Texas Democrats is, Who? Neither Julin nor Joaquin Castro is likely to run for governor next year. Nobody. Texans see Bidens COVID-19 response as a strength, while border security remains a weak point. Check out our 2018 House forecast and all the polls weve been collecting ahead of the midterms. We found that the average of polls in each race was also off by approximately 8 points. | 58% of Republicans approve of the job he's doing, while 66% of Democrats disapprove and 59% strongly disapprove. Underlying all those expectations is a political question with ramifications not just for ORourke, but for the country: Could Texas really turn blue? The Texas Politics Project just released the results of a March poll developed in conjunction with a team of researchers at the UT Energy Institute that asked dozens of questions about Texans experience during the winter storm, their attitudes toward causes and consequences of the storm, their views of, and expectations about, possible policy responses, and their views of how a wide range of actors from their neighbors and utility providers to state political leaders, regulatory bodies, and corporate actors. Even when hes not on the ballot, hes constantly working., Still, she said, Theres a certain calculus that needs to be addressed. Its almost baked into the cake of how everyone handles decision-making.. The average net approval for female Republican senators is 11 points lower than for their male counterparts. But on the flip side, when you fire up the Democrats, youre going to fire up the Republicans., Markowitz called ORourke the best shot we have at actually winning that gubernatorial seat, and hes the individual who has put the most effort into actually changing the state of Texas. Subject to credit approval. Whether evaluating senators of their own party or the opposite party, Republican voters tend to be more critical of women than men. A poll by The Dallas Morning News and University of Texas, Tyler, in June put Abbott's approval rating at 50 percent, including 29 percent of Democrats and 37 percent of independents. Accessed March 04, 2023. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1201765/favorability-ted-cruz-us-adults/, YouGov. Senator? This cycle, he said its not likely that Im going to run for governor. As for Republicans, 84% disapprove of the job he's doing with 77% strongly disapproving. For years, the Democratic mythology of Texas has been that the rapidly diversifying state is about to turn blue that despite its obstinate record of Republican dominance, the states shifting demography is poised to flip something: the state house, a big statewide office or a presidential vote someday soon. If youd like to dive in further, weve also published the data behind this article, you can check it out on our data page or grab it from GitHub. The Senate voted to acquitTrump both times. Sixty-seven percent of Democrats and 46 percent of independents a critical voting bloc in the state disapproved of her job performance. ORourke would likely have a better chance of beating U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz two years later but two years, in politics, is a long time to sit on the bench. And a lot of people who may be thinking of running for governor are holding back because everybody presumes that he will run., There was a time when ORourke maintained that he could not imagine ever running again for public office. The PayPal Credit account is issued by Synchrony Bank. His approval rating from Texas voters is better than those of Joe Biden, U.S. Sens. The day before the Nov. 3 election, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, was in Corpus Christi about to begin a stump speech in support of the state's senior senator, John Cornyn, when someone began . Search for a senator to view how their approval has shifted over time, as well as their net approval with Democrats, independents and Republicans. The most popular and unpopular senators are determined by total approval and total disapproval, with net approval (approval minus disapproval) serving as the tiebreaker. One week ago, his net approval was -10.9 points; 42.1 percent of Americans approved of Trumps job performance and 53 percent disapproved. Right now, its impossible to count the 2018 Senate run, in which ORourke came far closer than expected, as a loss for him politically. Democratic disapproval for Abbott remains potent. You can only download this statistic as a Premium user. Would you say that you" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." It gave new life to a familiar question: Could Texas finally flip blue? The PayPal Credit account is issued by Synchrony Bank. Morning Consult obtained an up-to-date list of senators from Sunlight Foundations Congress API v3 and Open States API. After losing twice, it has the appeal of measurable, if incremental, progress. However, Californians. Cicadas hummed overhead. Among Republicans, 61 percent approve of her and 34 percent disapprove. Check out the latest poll page to explore results related to the 87th legislative session, the coronavirus pandemic, assessments of state leaders, and more. His approval rating from Texas voters is better than those of Joe Biden, U.S. Sens. The delay in the state's primaries from March to May, thanks to redistricting litigation, will give Republicans more time to sort out their field. Hes young, but hes in a super tough state, said Matt Bennett of the center-left group Third Way. Cruz ( Republican Party) is running for re-election to the U.S. Senate to represent Texas. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. If this years polls are off by that average amount about 8 points then we really shouldnt be surprised by anything from Cruz winning by 11 points to ORourke winning by 5. I dont know that weve had anything like this., When he left, she said, at least hes doing the work., ORourke, she said, is a big hope for us., Beto O'Rourke canvasses a neighborhood in West Dallas, June 9, 2021. Ted Cruz Knows Which Side He's On. Wanted to be a good dad, I flew down with them last night and am flying back this afternoon. Overview and forecasts on trending topics, Industry and market insights and forecasts, Key figures and rankings about companies and products, Consumer and brand insights and preferences in various industries, Detailed information about political and social topics, All key figures about countries and regions, Market forecast and expert KPIs for 600+ segments in 150+ countries, Insights on consumer attitudes and behavior worldwide, Business information on 60m+ public and private companies, Detailed information for 35,000+ online stores and marketplaces. Senator Ted Cruz speaks during a congressional hearing on February 23. Thanks for contacting us. More GOP voters in Texas strongly approve of Cruz than they do of Republican Sen. John Cornyn, but both. Perhaps it goes without saying but producing quality journalism isn't cheap. He assumed office on January 3, 2013. ORourke, who will turn 49 this month, has been giving the same, brief response for months when asked if he will run for governor: Hes focused solely on voting rights, and will think about it later. (Thats a 41.5 percent approval rating and a 53.5 disapproval rating.) As a Premium user you get access to the detailed source references and background information about this statistic. His approval rating dropped over 20 percent following his Cancun, Mexico, trip last week, according to new polling. He said, I do feel very strong pressure from my kids, and just my conscience, that compels me to be part of this. Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. ORourke, who had campaigned in every county in the state in 2018, campaigned for down-ballot Democrats. In, YouGov. Felicia, ORourke said to Felicia Miyakawa, a volunteer organizer for the organization ORourke set up, Powered by People, weve had some dry runs before. In the fall of 2019, when ORourke was polling at between 2 percent and 3 percent nationally in the Democratic presidential primary, he told me over dinner in Pittsburghs east end that he couldnt fathom a scenario where I would run for public office again if Im not the nominee., That has changed. We aren't publishing updates for now. 76 percent of Texas Republicans supported him. Sergio Flores/Getty Images, This gets at one notable evolution: Powered by People is a PAC, after ORourke swore off PAC money as a congressman and during his presidential campaign. Public opinion on rescheduling the elections for the Romanian Parliament 2020, Peru: number of Congress members 1995-2021, by gender, General election: party voted for in Great Britain in 2017, by education level, 2017 general election voter turnout in Great Britain, by employment status, Chile: perceptions on what percentage of Congress members are women 2018, Latin America: Congress members' monthly salary by country 2018, Peru: perceptions on what percentage of Congress members are women 2018, Argentina: perceptions on what percentage of Congress members are women 2018, Mexico: perceptions on what percentage of Congress members are women 2018, Brazil: perceptions on what percentage of Congress members are women 2018, U.S. House of Reps Campaign financing - disbursements by candidate status 1983-2008, Find your information in our database containing over 20,000 reports. Among Republicans, 78% approve and only 9% disapprove. See terms - for PayPal Credit, opens in a new window or tab. For ORourke himself, the calculus is simple but brutal: Every loss is a dent in his reputation as the future of Texas politics. [Online]. Join half a million readers enjoying Newsweek's free newsletters. Abbott is dominant at the moment, but he has three Republicans challenging him, including Allen West, the firebrand former Florida congressman and former chair of the Texas Republican Party. Ted Cruz Approval (April 2022) Ted Cruz Approval (February 2022) Ted Cruz Approval (October 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (August 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (June 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (April 2021) Ted Cruz Approval (March 2021) Do you approve or disapprove of how Senator Ted Cruz has handled the response to the winter storm and its effects? Susan Collins is facing re-election next year, and views on her job performance have dimmed significantly over the first half of 2019. Governors' net approval ratings (approval ratings minus disapproval ratings) for the first three months of 2022 relative to the FiveThirtyEight partisan leans of their states A. On a daily basis, Morning Consult surveys over 5,000 registered voters across the United States. Staff writer. ; Leadership Identify and enable future-ready leaders who can inspire exceptional performance. You need a Statista Account for unlimited access. Dec. 20, 2022 A Very Merry 2024 Republican Presidential Primary Draft A FiveThirtyEight Chat Filed under 2024 Election Mar. Its an extension of ORourkes turnout strategy from his 2018 Senate campaign, and it reflects Democrats basic theory of the case in Texas that if the party could register and turn out even a fraction of the several million people who are eligible to vote but not registered, many of them young people of color, Democrats could swing the state their way. If we take the Senate, I hope we see the Senate engaging similarly in real oversight with teeth.. But none of those Democrats has the profile or fundraising record ORourke has. The Texas Politics Project just released the results of a March poll developed in conjunction with a team of researchers at the UT Energy Institute that asked dozens of questions about Texans experience during the winter storm, their attitudes toward causes and consequences of the storm, their views of, and expectations about, possible policy responses, and their views of how a wide range of actors from their neighbors and utility providers to state political leaders, regulatory bodies, and corporate actors. Nor did she tell him shed vote for him if he runs, though she hoped he would. Senator? Sarahbeth Maney/The New York Times. | The latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll has been released in full. Historical data extends back as far as Morning Consult has tracked for each senator and is not displayed for those senators in their first term. As a Premium user you get access to background information and details about the release of this statistic. As for Cruz, he has 43% approval and 46% disapproval among Texan voters. | Ted Cruz or Lindsey Graham) have in cycles past. But Republicans in 2020 found ORourke useful, too, yoking downballot Democrats to progressive policy positions ORourke took during the presidential campaign, including his support for mandatory buybacks of assault weapons. Get full access to all features within our Business Solutions. March 28, 2022. Credit. About Morning Consult Political Intelligence. Would you say that you" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?". Moreover, ORourke, a three-term congressman, has pulled far ahead of Cruz in the fundraising race. Accurate description. Subject to credit approval. Of those, 91% of Democrats approve, while 64% of Republicans disapprove. Senator? Just 13% of Democrats have a favorable opinion of Cruz this week, compared to 11% last week and 12% the week prior. Despite Cruz's statement, he faced a significant backlash for his trip. 8, 2021 Ignore What Potential 2024 Presidential Candidates Say. Sergio Flores/Getty Images. | I asked Steve Adler, the Democratic mayor of Austin, if it was a sustainable strategy for Texas Democrats simply to have ORourke run over and over again a Senate race, followed by a presidential race, followed by a gubernatorial race and, if that falls short, another run for U.S. Senate. Sergio Flores/Getty Images, He said, Its not as if one cant make the case for ORourke given the context. Pollapalooza (249) Meanwhile, Cornyn, his senior counterpart, has a 60% approval rating within the party. I think it's notable that over half of Democrats now register a negative opinion in fact a strongly negative opinion of him, Blank said of Paxton. One of the things that benefited Greg Abbott was Donald Trump, Blank said. It set him up to run for president. He declared candidacy for the 2024 election. About a fifth of respondents remained undecided. Hes carrying the burden that he carries really well, she said. Senator? Whos to say polls wont be off by 14 points like they were in 1990 and 1994? 4% nnScott, who was governor of Florida before entering the Senate in 2019, butted heads with McConnell throughout the 2022 midterm cycle." -14% He unsuccessfully tried to take leadership of the Senate Republicans last fall after he blamed McConnell for the party's underperformance in the midterm elections." Do you value our journalism? LIVE weekdays 6-8 pm ET. The margin of error is approximately 2.6% for the overall sample. It is sometimes hard for a political figure to recover quickly from claims of scandal, but some do. Abbott earned higher marks among Texas voters regarding his COVID-19 response at the start of the pandemic, Blank pointed out. Still, not a single poll so far has shown ORourke ahead of Cruz. Use the tabs to filter different groupings, and use the dropdown to sort the list. statistic alerts) please log in with your personal account. We applied post-stratification weights based on gender, age, educational attainment and race. O'Rourke . Fourteen percent of Republicans still approve of the job he's doing on COVID because it's one of his strong places, Blank added. But I clearly want to do this in service to Democratic victories in Texas, and I want to be able to help great Democratic candidates up and down the ballot in the state. As the pandemic drew on, Democratic disapproval of Abbott increased steadily. Adults, as of November 2022. Prior to that, Janie managed congressional data and wrote for CQ Roll Call. Abbott enjoys the approval of 77% of his own partys voters, with 43% of Republicans saying they strongly approve of his performance. Sweat held a swath of graying hair to ORourkes forehead. Fake news, political information and social media, Facebook: quarterly number of MAU (monthly active users) worldwide 2008-2022, Quarterly smartphone market share worldwide by vendor 2009-2022, Number of apps available in leading app stores Q3 2022, Profit from additional features with an Employee Account. In a survey of U.S. adults conducted in November 2022, 32 percent of respondents held a very unfavorable opinion of Congressman Ted Cruz. In April 2020, 56% of Texans approved of Abbotts response to the pandemic, but that slipped to 44% in the latest June poll. A deeper look at some of the trends behind the data. Republican disapproval runs especially high, with 89% saying they disapprove, including 82% who strongly disapprove. ORourke also has the potential to gain ground by improving his name recognition in the next two months. If you wait until all of this pencils out or the stars align or the calculations are complete, then youll never do anything., Still, ORourke told me that he does not feel pressured into doing anything next..